Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.000127 0.000140 0.000155 0.000172 0.000190 0.000210 0.000234
2025-07-20 0.000103 0.000123 0.000146 0.000175 0.000210 0.000251 0.000304
2025-07-27 0.000087 0.000109 0.000137 0.000174 0.000221 0.000281 0.000364
2025-08-03 0.000077 0.000102 0.000133 0.000176 0.000236 0.000316 0.000432
2025-08-10 0.000068 0.000093 0.000126 0.000174 0.000243 0.000339 0.000487
2025-08-17 0.000061 0.000086 0.000120 0.000172 0.000250 0.000363 0.000544
2025-08-24 0.000055 0.000080 0.000114 0.000169 0.000253 0.000381 0.000595
2025-08-31 0.000049 0.000073 0.000108 0.000164 0.000253 0.000393 0.000636
2025-09-07 0.000046 0.000069 0.000105 0.000164 0.000261 0.000418 0.000703
2025-09-14 0.000043 0.000067 0.000104 0.000166 0.000272 0.000450 0.000784
2025-09-21 0.000040 0.000063 0.000099 0.000163 0.000274 0.000466 0.000838
2025-09-28 0.000036 0.000058 0.000094 0.000157 0.000269 0.000470 0.000869
2025-10-05 0.000034 0.000056 0.000092 0.000157 0.000278 0.000500 0.000959
2025-10-12 0.000032 0.000054 0.000091 0.000160 0.000291 0.000539 0.001071
2025-10-19 0.000030 0.000051 0.000088 0.000159 0.000296 0.000565 0.001161
2025-10-26 0.000029 0.000050 0.000087 0.000161 0.000309 0.000606 0.001291
2025-11-02 0.000027 0.000047 0.000085 0.000159 0.000312 0.000628 0.001380
2025-11-09 0.000025 0.000045 0.000082 0.000157 0.000316 0.000654 0.001482
2025-11-16 0.000024 0.000043 0.000079 0.000155 0.000317 0.000671 0.001568
2025-11-23 0.000022 0.000040 0.000075 0.000150 0.000313 0.000678 0.001628
2025-11-30 0.000021 0.000039 0.000074 0.000150 0.000320 0.000711 0.001760
2025-12-07 0.000020 0.000038 0.000074 0.000152 0.000332 0.000757 0.001933
2025-12-14 0.000019 0.000036 0.000071 0.000149 0.000333 0.000774 0.002031